Fun With Stats

One of my favorite things to do ever since I was a kid was to take early season baseball stats and look at the season projections.  It was a pure entertainment move that would give me a chuckle. Even now that I’m in my thirties, I still get humor from it.  Just this past season, as a Braves fan, I enjoyed the hot start by Justin Upton.  Through April he had 12 home runs and was on pace for 76 for the season.  It’s very rare that those sort of starts actually continue and Upton sure enough fizzled finishing with just 27 homers on the season.  It doesn’t take away from marveling at the impressive numbers put up early.  With that in mind, I decided to take a look at Jameis Winston and the Florida State offense through 5 games.

winstonstats

Here’s how those numbers would put him among the FSU record books:

Completion % – 1st (69.5 Charlie Ward 1993)
Yards Per Attempt – 1st (9.7 Chris Weinke 2000)
Yards Per Completion – 2nd (17.1 Chris Weinke 1998)
Yards – 2nd (4,167 Chris Weinke 2000)
Touchdowns – 1st (33 Chris Weinke 2000)
Passing Eff – 1st (163.73 Chris Weinke 2000)

Somebody has to be on the receiving end of all these Jameis Winston passes, though, so let’s take a look at the WR and TE production:

recstats

Again, here’s how those numbers would stack up against FSU records:

Yards – Shaw 6th, Greene 13th
Touchdowns – Greene 4th, O’Leary 4th
Touchdowns by a TE – O’Leary 1st

Despite the fact that the Seminoles are featuring a running back-by-committee approach, even the running backs would be putting up some numbers that sit nice in the record books:

rbstats

While not making quite the dent in the record books, there would be a couple good marks:

Yards – Freeman 15th
Touchdowns – Williams 7th

Team Stats

Taking a look at the projected team stats would put this offense among the top statistical offenses in FSU history as well.  It would rank:

Points Scored – 643, 1st (550 in 2012)
Total Yards – 6,588, tied for 2nd (6,591 in 2012)
Yards Per Game – 549.0, tied for 2nd (551.5 in 1995)
Yards Per Play – 8.3, 1st (7.1 in 2000)

 

So what can we take from this?  Nothing.  It’s just fun to look at.  We’ll see an increase in the level of competition coming up in the latter half of the season and I’m sure these numbers will come down some (though with this Winston kid who knows).  Even if those numbers don’t level off, with schedule difficulty and other factors it would be hard to know where to slot this offense among Florida State’s best.  For now, just enjoy the silly production that the Noles are putting up.

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